Counterpoint: The trade deadline
Dear 95% of Padre fans,
I respectfully disagree with you.
I know, I’m a stupid Padres apologist who always supports the team blindly and not at all realistically. I can’t see how awful this team’s decisions makers are and how terrible things went at the trading deadline.
Now that you’ve vented, can I say a few things? Thanks.
I’m fine with team standing pat, but not for the reason the team offered.
I understand fans logic. I honestly do. The Padres won’t make the postseason so they gain nothing from keeping their potential free agents. Justin Upton will only land the team a draft pick and everyone else will walk. You’re right. However, I think you’re missing one, key part of the Padres trading deadline discussion.
You weren’t there.
You, no offense, were not in a room with AJ Preller or any of the GM’s he had been talking to over the past week. No wire taps or court orders either.
So, before we accuse the Padres of doing “nothing” at the break, can we first agree on whether “nothing” was good or bad?
Oh that’s right… We can’t.
You and I can not say what exactly was offered to the Padres for Upton, Benoit, Kimbrel, etc. Sources say a lot of things, but sources is not the name of any GM I know. (But wouldn’t it be great if it was… Imagine a press conference where a guy named Bill Sources is the GM of the Brewers and the beat writer has to type: according to Sources, Ryan Braun has been traded…… but I digress)
What’s the point here?
I am not a fan of doing something simply for doing something’s sake. What if the Padres really weren’t offered a can’t miss prospect? Would you be happier if Upton was traded for a AAAA outfielder or maybe a low-A, high-risk pitcher? And, what if that was the best offer on the table? Do you still make that move? What if there was no market for Benoit? What if no one offered a player the Padres liked for Ross or Cashner? What then? Do you still trade them?
Not everything on Twitter is correct. Sources, there’s that word again, often leak information for their own, self-serving reasons. Some of it is true but a lot of it is smoke and misdirection. There’s no way to know if AJ Preller overplayed his hand or not. Did the Yankees really offer Jorge Mateo? Within the span of 11 tweets, you might get 3 different answers. By the way, Mateo is still 20 years old, so if you’re thinking he slides right in and replaces Amarista, I doubt that is the case.
What about the Cubs blockbuster? How far did talks get? You don’t know and neither do I.
Here’s the point, friends. If you’re desperate in a negotiation you lose all leverage and you’ll be swindled. The Padres came into the deadline from a position of strength. They liked their team, they think they have an outside chance at competing for the postseason and if someone wanted a player badly, they’d listen. If not… Oh, well.
Put it another way. When is the best time to job hunt? When you’re unemployed or when you already have a job?
I get the feeling many Padre fans wanted the team to just do something, no matter what. That is no way to negotiate.
“Hey <insert baseball team GM here>, I really, really need to move <insert player name>, can you give me anything for him? Please? Pretty please?”
I’d rather my GM say, “Hello, you’re asking about <insert player name>? I’m not really in any hurry to move him, so you’ll have to blow me away.”
I know some fans are bent out of shape because some website says they have a 1.498482747462849% chance of making the post-season, and that is the excuse the team gave for not making a move. First of all, Han Solo didn’t want to be told the odds and neither do I. Want to know the Rockies’ odds of making the 2007 World Series, during late August? Look it up sometime.
I’m not saying the Padres will make the postseason. Probably won’t. But why trade something for nothing when you don’t have to? The team has a long-term plan, they have some idea of where next year’s payroll will be, and the following year and so on. If trades right now don’t fit into the plan, then don’t make them. Simple as that.
Don’t get me wrong, be negative if you want. Post funny memes cutting down the team and pointing fingers. Doesn’t really hurt me. Of course, you could just watch baseball and enjoy, also… But as as Kermit the Frog says “that’s none of my business.” (Drinks tea)