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On the Farm -
Farm System Info
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Written by Peter Friberg
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Tuesday, 03 January 2012 06:00 |
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We are proud to announce The San Diego Padres Top 30 Prospects for 2012. Peter Friberg has been studying minor league and amateur baseball players for nearly 10 years and has been writing about Padres minor leaguers for approximately eight.
In all my years, this is the hardest list I have ever had the privilege of compiling. When working on top prospect lists, I, in good faith, cannot simply plug in the top draft picks at or near the top of the list. I am not going to leave recently drafted players off the list; rather I am going to reward professional performance. The good news, in my system of ranking (mixing production with upside), is that while many of these top 10 players may graduate off the list this year, players with potentially even higher upside may invade the top 10 next year.
Additionally, the Padres take a lot of heat for not signing top-tier free agents. However, they do not have the financial resources to compete with the big boys for the top free agents. This current collection of minor leaguers has many future MLB’ers. The Padres need to avoid the temptation to spend money on stop-gap free agents and further block the potential stars in the system. (Last Updated: 1/3/12)
 1. Robert Erlin, LHP, 6'0" 175, Born: Oct. 8, 1990
Good: Erlin is a short-ish lefty with elite stuff. He profiles as high as a #2-3 starter. He has above average velocity (for a lefty) and pitches in the 90’s while topping out at 93-94. He has dominated throughout his minor league career. He is as close to a “sure thing” as the Padres have. Bad: Erlin’s lack of ideal height (he’s probably not taller than 5’9”) causes prognosticators to downgrade his ranking. When I evaluate pitchers, the first thing I look at is K/9 rates. Then I look at BB/K ratios, hits-allowed rates, and a few other statistics… While Erlin maintained his high K/9 rates after his promotion to AA, his hit rate climbed dramatically. The Texas League is known for being a hitters’ league, so should we be overly concerned? Probably not…
Outlook: Padres still have their AAA home in Tucson and it is an EXTREME hitters’ park. Although Erlin is ready for AAA the Padres do not want to subject Erlin to confidence-destroying Tucson. Erlin will be back in San Antonio but will be in line for a quick, mid-season promotion to San Diego where he will probably begin his MLB career in the ‘pen. A transition to full-time starter should happen by ’13.
| Year | Age | Tm | Lg | Lev | W | L | ERA | G | GS | IP | H | R | ER | HR | BB | SO | WHIP |
| 2009 |
18 |
Rangers |
ARIZ |
Rk |
0 |
0 |
2.25 |
3 |
0 |
4.0 |
5 |
1 |
1 |
0 |
1 |
9 |
1.500 |
| 2010 |
19 |
Hickory |
SALL |
A |
6 |
3 |
2.12 |
28 |
17 |
114.2 |
89 |
37 |
27 |
9 |
17 |
125 |
0.924 |
| 2011 |
20 |
3 Teams |
2 Lgs |
A+-AA |
9 |
4 |
2.99 |
26 |
25 |
147.1 |
124 |
53 |
49 |
18 |
16 |
154 |
0.950 |
| 2011 |
20 |
Myrtle Beach |
CARL |
A+ |
3 |
2 |
2.14 |
9 |
9 |
54.2 |
25 |
15 |
13 |
7 |
5 |
62 |
0.549 |
| 2011 |
20 |
Frisco |
TL |
AA |
5 |
2 |
4.32 |
11 |
10 |
66.2 |
73 |
34 |
32 |
9 |
7 |
61 |
1.200 |
| 2011 |
20 |
San Antonio |
TL |
AA |
1 |
0 |
1.38 |
6 |
6 |
26.0 |
26 |
4 |
4 |
2 |
4 |
31 |
1.154 |
| 3 Seasons |
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|
15 |
7 |
2.61 |
57 |
42 |
266.0 |
218 |
91 |
77 |
27 |
34 |
288 |
0.947 |
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On the Farm -
Farm System Info
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Written by Peter Friberg
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Tuesday, 20 December 2011 16:56 |
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We are proud to announce The San Diego Padres Top 30 Prospects for 2012. Peter Friberg has been studying minor league and amateur baseball players for nearly 10 years and has been writing about Padres minor leaguers for approximately eight. Peter has compiled his top 30 prospects in the Padres system for 2012, we are now into the top 10, continuing with #1 Robert Erlin. It should be noted that this list was complied before the trade of Mat Latos. An updated list will be posted next week, with the additions of players acquired by the Padres.
View 11-15 here
View 16-20 here
View 21-25 here
View 26-30 here
2011 San Diego Padres Top 30 Prospects
1. Robert Erlin, LHP, 6'0" 175, Born: Oct. 8, 1990
Good: Erlin is a short-ish lefty with elite stuff. He profiles as high as a #2-3 starter. He has above average velocity (for a lefty) and pitches in the 90’s while topping out at 93-94. He has dominated throughout his minor league career. He is as close to a “sure thing” as the Padres have. Bad: Erlin’s lack of ideal height (he’s probably not taller than 5’9”) causes prognosticators to downgrade his ranking. When I evaluate pitchers, the first thing I look at is K/9 rates. Then I look at BB/K ratios, hits-allowed rates, and a few other statistics… While Erlin maintained his high K/9 rates after his promotion to AA, his hit rate climbed dramatically. The Texas League is known for being a hitters’ league, so should we be overly concerned? Probably not…
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On the Farm -
Farm System Info
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Written by Peter Friberg
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Monday, 19 December 2011 15:02 |
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We are proud to announce The San Diego Padres Top 30 Prospects for 2012. Peter Friberg has been studying minor league and amateur baseball players for nearly 10 years and has been writing about Padres minor leaguers for approximately eight. Peter has compiled his top 30 prospects in the Padres system for 2012, we are now into the top 10, continuing with #2 Jedd Gyorko. It should be noted that this list was complied before the trade of Mat Latos. An updated list will be posted next week, with the additions of players acquired by the Padres.
View 11-15 here
View 16-20 here
View 21-25 here
View 26-30 here
2011 San Diego Padres Top 30 Prospects
 2. Jedd Gyorko, 3B, 5’10” 195, Born: Sept. 23 1988
Good: Gyorko does everything you want your offensive 3B to do. He hits for average, he hits for power (not a ton, but lots of doubles and at least average HR power), and he controls the strike zone. He profiles as the offensive 3B the Padres thought they had in Chase Headley.
Bad: There are two legitimate concerns with Gyorko: 1. Jedd’s 5’10” listing is generous. While pitchers are never going to knock the bat out of his hands, you can’t help wishing your MLB third baseman looked more like Adrian Beltre rather than David Eckstein. 2. Jedd’s defense gets mixed reviews; some say Gyorko will thicken-up and become too immobile to play 3B while others say he’ll never be elite but he’s more than adequate…
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On the Farm -
Farm System Info
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Written by Peter Friberg
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Sunday, 18 December 2011 10:38 |
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We are proud to announce The San Diego Padres Top 30 Prospects for 2012. Peter Friberg has been studying minor league and amateur baseball players for nearly 10 years and has been writing about Padres minor leaguers for approximately eight. Peter has compiled his top 30 prospects in the Padres system for 2012, we are now into the top 10, continuing with #3 Anthony Rizzo. It should be noted that this list was complied before the trade of Mat Latos. An updated list will be posted next week, with the additions of players acquired by the Padres.
View 11-15 here
View 16-20 here
View 21-25 here
View 26-30 here
2011 San Diego Padres Top 30 Prospects
 3. Anthony Rizzo, 1B, 6’3” 220, Born: Aug. 8, 1989
Good: Anthony Rizzo possesses all the tools you look for in big league first baseman. He is strong. He is agile. He can hit for power and average. He can play elite defense at first. There isn’t anything to dislike. While Rizzo struggled in his first go-round in the big leagues, so did Adrian. It means nothing. Rizzo can hit.
Bad: Anthony is routinely compared to Adrian Gonzalez for his sweet swing, good defense, and above-average power. The problem is Adrian never struck out as much as Anthony does. Likewise, Adrian hit for a much higher average (other than Anthony’s Tucson-inflated statistics). One last concern (and this is completely outside of Anthony’s control), PETCO swallows left-handed power. As a lefty-hitter, Anthony might not be the best choice for the Padres because of his handedness and the Padres’ park. Until the Padres move the RF fences in, lefty power-hitters will struggle in San Diego.
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On the Farm -
Farm System Info
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Written by Peter Friberg
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Saturday, 17 December 2011 19:26 |
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We are proud to announce The San Diego Padres Top 30 Prospects for 2012. Peter Friberg has been studying minor league and amateur baseball players for nearly 10 years and has been writing about Padres minor leaguers for approximately eight. Peter has compiled his top 30 prospects in the Padres system for 2012, we are now into the top 10, continuing with #4 Jaff Decker
View 11-15 here
View 16-20 here
View 21-25 here
View 26-30 here
2011 San Diego Padres Top 30 Prospects
 4. Jaff Decker, OF, 5’10” 190, Born: Feb. 23, 1990
Good: The previous two seasons each saw Decker miss significant time from injuries. The best thing about Decker’s 2011 season was that he compiled 600+ at-bats for the Missions. He also continued his patient ways by walking more than 100 times for a .373 on-base rate. Another good thing about Decker is his performance (in several key areas) continues to disprove those who say his athleticism is subpar (successful in 15/20 stolen base attempts, played at least a few innings in CF in multiple games, etc.).
Bad: Decker has always hit for average. So his .236 batting average is baffling. What is particularly curious is that while Missions play in an extreme pitchers’ park in a hitters’ league, Decker hit dramatically better at home than on the road. Lastly, most critics rip Jaff for his physique. The one way this criticism is legitimate is that players with less-than-ideal bodies do not usually age well. While controlling someone like James Darnell through his late 20’s is beneficial, the Padres will want 6 years of Decker starting much younger.
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