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Projecting Padres Hitters Numbers on the Road PDF Print E-mail
2011 Season - 2011 Season
Written by Steve Adler   
Monday, 13 June 2011 15:17
Sharing is Caring

Petco1

Since being built, hitters have complained about Petco.  In recent years fans have been vocal about the entertainment value of a game at Petco.  On one hand, fans are able to get out of the park in only a few hours.  On the other hand, repeatedly watching the Padres with two hits through six innings is now referred to as boring baseball.  With the lose of Adrian Gonzalez in the off season, most fans felt a Padres 2010 team that struggled to score runs would only get worse.  

 

The front office told fans otherwise, the lineup is better from top to bottom, fans were told.  At the Friarhood we have been vocal about finding creative ways to make baseball more entertaining at Petco Park.  I thought I would take a little time to see how much of an impact Petco was having on offensive numbers for key starters on the Padres. 

 

With 155 games as my ending point, I took the players numbers on the road, divided them by the numbers of games and then multiplied those averages by 155, I then did the same to project current numbers (with home stats included)  Not rocket science by any stretch, but fun nonetheless. The point of the excercise is to see what the Padres players stats would look like if they didn't have to play a game in Petco compared to playing half their games in the grand canyon. 

 

For those of you that listened to Friarhood Radio I brought up my concern about retaining position players.  Outside of all the other reasons to make Petco less pitcher friendly is the question of why a position player would re-sign with the Padres.  When a player is able to hit the free agent market, why would they stay in San Diego?

 

Below are the numbers, some of them are somewhat laughable, but for players such as Chase Headley and Ryan Ludwick, it's obvious that Petco park has an huge impact on their overall numbers.  

 


G AB R H 2B HR RBI AVG OBP SLG
Chase Headley









Road Projection
155 557 98 166 57 6 75 0.299 0.387 0.433
With Petco
155 506 62 136 41 5 55 0.269 0.372 0.377

G AB R H 2B HR RBI AVG OBP SLG
Ryan Ludwick









Road Projection
155 614 87 192 19 25 136 0.313 0.358 0.465
With Petco
155 583 73 155 25 20 95 0.266 0.337 0.412

G AB R H 2B HR RBI AVG OBP SLG
Jason Bartlett


Road Projection
155 645 81 192 31 6 93 0.298 0.325 0.375
With Petco
155 620 65 158 19 3 49 0.254 0.343 0.38

G AB R H 2B HR RBI AVG OBP SLG
Cameron Maybin


Road Projection
155 583 133 185 22 30 89 0.316 0.375 0.532
With Petco
155 549 74 140 19 16 47 0.254 0.315 0.383

G AB R H 2B HR RBI AVG OBP SLG
Brad Hawpe


Road Projection
155 478 65 129 6 6 58 0.27 0.325 0.324
With Petco
155 485 48 114 25 10 48 0.236 0.307 0.351

Now I ask you, if you were a Padres position player, if given other options why would you re-sign to play for the Padres?

 

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